@article{fdi:010053297,
  title = {{S}easonal forecasting of the flood volume of the {S}enegal {R}iver, based on results of the {ARPEGE} {C}limate model},
  author = {{B}ader, {J}ean-{C}laude and {P}iedelievre, {J}. {P}. and {L}amagat, {J}ean-{P}ierre},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{F}rom the end of {A}ugust to the beginning of {O}ctober, the support of the annual flood of the {S}enegal {R}iver by the multipurpose {M}anantali {D}am requires high release volumes, which can be problematic for its hydro-electric production. {T}o facilitate the programming of this objective by predicting reserves available in the reservoir at the end of the monsoon, attempts are made to predict in {A}ugust the natural flood volume of the river for {S}eptember-{O}ctober, starting from an index of pluviometric anomalies calculated at the end of {J}uly for these two months by the model "{ARPEGE} {C}limat". {A}fter a principal components analysis of these indexes produced on a 300 x 300 km grid covering {W}est {A}frica, a 1200 x 1200 km zone may be determined shifted to the east of the basin, where the eigenvectors of the indexes are related to the natural discharge of {S}eptember-{O}ctober by linear regression with five parameters ({R}-2 = 0.651). {T}his statistical relationship calculated for the period 19792000 is validated for the period 2001-2005.},
  keywords = {{W}est {A}frica ; principal components analysis ; {M}anantali {D}am ; {S}enegal {R}iver ; reservoir operation ; {ARPEGE} model ; precipitation ; seasonal discharge forecast ; flood support ; {SENEGAL} ; {MANTALI} {BARRAGE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{H}ydrological {S}ciences {J}ournal {J}ournal {D}es {S}ciences {H}ydrologiques},
  volume = {51},
  numero = {3},
  pages = {406--417},
  ISSN = {0262-6667},
  year = {2006},
  DOI = {10.1623/hysj.51.3.406},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010053297},
}