Lett Christophe auteur aut IRD Ayata S. D. auteur aut IRD Huret M. auteur aut IRD Irisson J. O. auteur aut IRD text journalArticle eng text/pdf born digital access Climate may act on the dispersal and connectivity of marine populations through changes in the oceanic circulation and temperature, and by modifying species' prey and predator distributions. As dispersal and connectivity remain difficult to assess in situ, a first step in studying the effects of climate change can be achieved using biophysical models. To date, only a few biophysical models have been used for this purpose. Here we review these studies and also include results from other recent modelling efforts. We show that increased sea temperature, a major change expected under climate warming, may impact dispersal and connectivity patterns via changes in reproductive phenology (e.g., shift in the spawning season), transport (e.g., reduced pelagic larval duration under faster development rates), mortality (e.g., changes in the exposure to lethal temperatures), and behaviour (e.g.. increased larval swimming speed). Projected changes in circulation are also shown to have large effects on the simulated dispersal and connectivity patterns. Although these biophysical modelling studies are useful preliminary approaches to project the potential effects of climate change, we highlight their current limitations and discuss the way forward, in particular the need for adequate coupled hydrodynamic-biogeochemical simulations using atmospheric forcing from realistic climate change scenarios. specialized 032 87 1-4 106-113 2010 0079-6611 https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010053151 10.1016/j.pocean.2010.09.005 0079-6611 [F B010053151] https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010053151 https://www.documentation.ird.fr/intranet/publi/2011/03/010053151.pdf Accès réservé (Intranet de l'IRD) IRD - Base Horizon / Pleins textes 2011-04-07 2017-08-23 fdi:010053151 fre