@article{fdi:010049259,
  title = {{M}odelling the effect of temperature on transmission of dengue},
  author = {{B}arbazan, {P}hilippe and {G}uiserix, {M}. and {B}oonyuan, {W}. and {T}untaprasart, {W}. and {P}ontier, {D}. and {G}onzalez, {J}ean-{P}aul},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{T}he main entomological parameters involved in the rate of dengue virus transmission include the longevity of female mosquitoes, the time interval between bites and the extrinsic incubation period of the virus. {F}ield and laboratory data provide estimates for these parameters, but their interactions with other factors (e.g. host population density and environmental parameters) make their integration into a transmission model quite complex. {T}o estimate the impact of these parameters on transmission, we developed a model of virus transmission by a vector population which predicts the number of potentially infective bites under a range of temperatures and entomological parameters, including the daily survival rate of females, the interval between bites and the extrinsic incubation period. {R}esults show that in a stable population, an increase in mosquito longevity disproportionately enhances the number of potential transmissions (e.g. by as much as five times when the survival rate rises from 0.80 to 0.95). {H}alving the length of the biting interval with a 10-degrees {C} rise in temperature increases the transmission rate by at least 2.4 times. {A}ccordingly, the model can predict changes in dengue transmission associated with short-term variation in seasonal temperature and also with potentially long-lasting increases in global temperatures.},
  keywords = {{B}loodmeals ; daily survival rate ; dengue transmission ; extrinsic incubation period ; gonotrophic cycle ; infective bites ; model ; temperature ; vector},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{M}edical and {V}eterinary {E}ntomology},
  volume = {24},
  numero = {1},
  pages = {66--73},
  ISSN = {0269-283{X}},
  year = {2010},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010049259},
}