@article{fdi:010048214,
  title = {{P}otential impact of climate change on durum wheat cropping in {T}unisia},
  author = {{L}homme, {J}ean-{P}aul and {M}ougou, {R}. and {M}ansour, {M}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{T}he potential effect of climate change on durum wheat in {T}unisia is assessed using a simple crop simulation model and a climate projection for the 2071-2100 period, obtained from the {M},t,o-{F}rance {ARPEGE}-{C}limate atmospheric model run under the {IPCC} ({I}nternational {P}anel on {C}limate {C}hange) scenario {A}1{B}. {I}n the process-oriented crop model, phenology is estimated through thermal time. {W}ater balance is calculated on a daily basis by means of a simple modelling of actual evapotranspiration involving reference evapotranspiration, crop coefficients and some basic soil characteristics. {T}he impact of crop water deficit on yield is accounted for through the linear crop-water production function developed by the {FAO} ({F}ood and {A}griculture {O}rganization of the {U}nited {N}ations). {T}wo stations are chosen to study the climate change effect. {T}hey are representative of the main areas where cereals are grown in {T}unisia: {J}endouba in the northern region and {K}airouan in the central region. {I}n the future scenario, temperature systematically increases, whereas precipitation increases or decreases depending on the location and the period of the year. {M}ean annual precipitation declines in {J}endouba and raises in {K}airouan. {U}nder climate change, the water conditions needed for sowing occur earlier and cycle lengths are reduced in both locations. {C}rop water deficit and the corresponding deficit in crop yield happen to be slightly lower in {K}airouan; conversely, they become higher in {J}endouba.},
  keywords = {},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{C}limatic {C}hange},
  volume = {96},
  numero = {4},
  pages = {549--564},
  ISSN = {0165-0009},
  year = {2009},
  DOI = {10.1007/s10584-009-9571-9},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010048214},
}