@article{fdi:010044097, title = {{P}redicting the structure of larval fish assemblages by a hierarchical classification of meteorological and water column forcing factors}, author = {{C}arassou, {L}aure and {P}onton, {D}ominique and {M}ellin, {C}amille and {G}alzin, {R}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{T}he first step in building predictive models of larval fish assemblages is to identify the main environmental parameters which influence their spatial and temporal structure. {I}n this study, multivariate regression trees ({MRT}) were used to classify hierarchically the effects of large-scale meteorological factors and small-scale water column factors on pre-settlement larval fish assemblages at two sites in the lagoon at {N}ew {C}aledonia, southwest {P}acific. {T}he environmental conditions at one site were highly variable spatially and temporally, but varied little at the other. {I}n spite of these differences, {MRT} models revealed that identical forcing factors influenced the structure of larval fish assemblages at both sites, with a similar hierarchy, but a different statistical efficiency. {A}t a large spatial scale, the seasonal variabilities in sun hours and wind (speed and/or direction) explained 14% and 64% of the structure of larval fish assemblages at the sites of high and low variability, respectively. {A}t a small spatial scale, the seasonal variability in mean surface water temperature, followed by the concentration in {C}hl a, explained 22% and 62% of the structure of assemblages at the sites of high and low variability, respectively. {T}he {D}ufrane-{L}egendre index matched characteristic families of larvae to each set of environmental conditions, and illustrated the role of sheltered, {C}hl a enriched, coastal waters in producing a families-rich assemblage of fish larvae, some species of which are targeted by fishing. {T}his study shows that it may be possible to use environmental data, and predictions computed from {MRT} to design spatially explicit models of larval fish distribution in coral-reef lagoons.}, keywords = {{R}eef fish ; {L}arvae ; {E}nvironmental parameters ; {P}redictive models ; {S}outhwest pacific ; {N}ew caledonia}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{C}oral {R}eefs}, volume = {27}, numero = {4}, pages = {867--880}, ISSN = {0722-4028}, year = {2008}, DOI = {10.1007/s00338-008-0388-1}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010044097}, }