@article{fdi:010037026, title = {{O}n the future of the water resources from glacier melting in the {C}ordillera {B}lanca, {P}eru}, author = {{P}ouyaud, {B}ernard and {Z}apata, {M}. and {Y}erren, {J}. and {G}omez, {J}. and {R}osas, {G}. and {S}uarez, {W}ilson and {R}ibstein, {P}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{T}he hydrological data (since 1953) of the {L}langanuco basin (87.0 km(2) 39% glacierized) show an increase of the glacial melting during the last quarter of the 20th century. {T}hese results were supplemented (since the end of 2000) by the data of the 2 small basin of {A}rtesoncocha (8.4 km(2), 79% glacierized). {T}he basin runoff is well correlated to the atmospheric temperature derived from the {NOAA}-{NCEP} re-analysis above the {C}ordillera {B}lanca. {A}t the monthly time scale, the temperature is a good proxy of the glacier melting. {T}he retreat of several glaciers in the {C}ordillera {B}lanca has been well documented for 50 years, highlighting an acceleration of the deglaciation in the mid-1970s. {T}he use of these data of various origins permits one to model the behaviour of glaciers, especially the meltwater production, and then to predict their future evolution. {T}he model was calibrated over the 1950-2000 period, thus providing a possible optimistic evolution range (underestimation if the climate change becomes more intense). {T}he forcing of the model by forecasts of the future temperature evolution above the {C}ordillera {B}lanca, derived from the regionalization of global climatic models, allows improvement of the estimations only based on past glacial behaviour.}, keywords = {tropical glacial basins ; climate change ; {C}ordillera {B}lanca ; glacial meltwater ; glacial hydrology ; depth of runoff ; water resources ; glaciation rate ; {NOAA} {NCEP} re analysis atmospheric temperature ; {P}eru}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{H}ydrological {S}ciences {J}ournal = {J}ournal des {S}ciences {H}ydrologiques}, volume = {50}, numero = {6}, pages = {999--1022}, ISSN = {0262-6667}, year = {2005}, DOI = {10.1623/hysj.2005.50.6.999}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010037026}, }