%0 Journal Article
%9 ACL : Articles dans des revues avec comité de lecture répertoriées par l'AERES
%A Guernier, Vanina
%A Guégan, Jean-François
%A Deparis, X.
%T An evaluation of the actual incidence of tuberculosis in French Guiana using a capture-recapture model
%D 2006
%L fdi:010035656
%G ENG
%J Microbes and Infection
%@ 1286-4579
%K tuberculosis ; French Guiana ; disease notification ; transmission ; surveillance ; incidence ; statistical models
%M CC:0002377540-0017
%N 3
%P 721-727
%R 10.1016/j.micinf.2005.09.009
%U https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010035656
%> https://www.documentation.ird.fr/intranet/publi/2006/06/010035656.pdf
%V 8
%W Horizon (IRD)
%X In order to estimate the level of under-reporting and to improve estimates of the incidence of tuberculosis (TB) in the vicinity of Cayenne, French Guiana, we performed capture-recapture analysis from 1996 through 2003. We cross-linked data from the Institut Pasteur, the Departement d'Information Medicale of Cayenne Hospital, and the Service de Lutte Anti-Tuberculeuse. The estimate of 381 TB cases obtained after matching those three sources was revised to 425 (95% confidence interval: 407, 453) using the capture-recapture model based on sample coverage. The corresponding average annual incidence was 63.1 TB cases per 100,000 population. The evaluated sensitivity of the compulsory notification system was 35.3%, indicating wide under-notification of TB in the vicinity of Cayenne. The estimated coverage reported by the three sources was fairly accurate (i.e. 85.9%), but not sufficient to evaluate the risk of transmission of TB in the Ile-de-Cayenne (Cayenne and its suburbs). (c) 2006 Elsevier SAS. All rights reserved.
%$ 052 ; 020