@article{PAR00010046,
  title = {{M}igration trends in {N}orth {A}frica : focus on {M}orocco, {T}unisia and {A}lgeria},
  author = {{G}ubert, {F}lore and {N}ordman, {C}hristophe},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{I}n {P}art {I}, the determinants of past and current migration flows from the {M}iddle {E}ast and {N}orth {A}frican ({MENA}) countries to {OECD} countries are discussed. {I}n particular, the influence of economic, demographic and political factors on the size and composition of migration flows from {N}orth {A}frica to {OECD} countries is put forward using two complementary econometric analyses. {I}n {P}art {II}, the economic and demographic prospects in {A}lgeria, {M}orocco and {T}unisia are discussed focusing on the key determinants identified previously as important driving forces of future migration trends ({GDP} per capita, poverty levels, and demographic factors). {I}n {P}art {III}, an attempt to assess the impact of climate change on future migration patterns in the {M}aghreb is carried out. {T}his section looks at ways that climate change might lead to increased forced migration, presents some predictions for numbers of future climate migrants, examines the uncertainties with these predictions and lays out different tentative scenarios on future numbers of forced migrants.},
  keywords = {{AFRIQUE} {DU} {NORD} ; {MAROC} ; {TUNISIE} ; {ALGERIE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{OECD} {J}ournal : {G}eneral {P}apers = {D}ocuments de l'{OCDE}},
  volume = {15},
  numero = {4},
  pages = {75--108},
  ISSN = {1995-2821},
  year = {2009},
  DOI = {10.1787/gen_papers-v2009-art11-en},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/{PAR}00010046},
}