@article{fdi:010085412,
  title = {{P}otential impacts of climate change on agriculture and fisheries production in 72 tropical coastal communities},
  author = {{C}inner, {J}. {E}. and {C}aldwell, {I}. {R}. and {T}hiault, {L}. and {B}en, {J}. and {B}lanchard, {J}. {L}. and {C}oll, {M}arta and {D}iedrich, {A}. and {E}ddy, {T}. {D}. and {E}verett, {J}. {D}. and {F}olberth, {C}. and {G}ascuel, {D}. and {G}uiet, {J}. and {G}urney, {G}. {G}. and {H}eneghan, {R}. {F}. and {J}agermeyr, {J}. and {J}iddawi, {N}. and {L}ahari, {R}. and {K}uange, {J}. and {L}iu, {W}. {F}. and {M}aury, {O}livier and {M}uller, {C}. and {N}ovaglio, {C}. and {P}alacios-{A}brantes, {J}. and {P}etrik, {C}. {M}. and {R}abearisoa, {A}. and {T}ittensor, {D}. {P}. and {W}amukota, {A}. and {P}ollnac, {R}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{C}limate change is expected to profoundly affect key food production sectors, including fisheries and agriculture. {H}owever, the potential impacts of climate change on these sectors are rarely considered jointly, especially below national scales, which can mask substantial variability in how communities will be affected. {H}ere, we combine socioeconomic surveys of 3,008 households and intersectoral multi-model simulation outputs to conduct a sub-national analysis of the potential impacts of climate change on fisheries and agriculture in 72 coastal communities across five {I}ndo-{P}acific countries ({I}ndonesia, {M}adagascar, {P}apua {N}ew {G}uinea, {P}hilippines, and {T}anzania). {O}ur study reveals three key findings: {F}irst, overall potential losses to fisheries are higher than potential losses to agriculture. {S}econd, while most locations (> 2/3) will experience potential losses to both fisheries and agriculture simultaneously, climate change mitigation could reduce the proportion of places facing that double burden. {T}hird, potential impacts are more likely in communities with lower socioeconomic status. {R}esponses of agriculture and fisheries to climate change are interlinked, yet rarely studied together. {H}ere, the authors analyse more than 3000 households from 5 tropical countries and forecast mid-century climate change impacts, finding that communities with higher fishery dependence and lower socioeconomic status communities face greater losses.},
  keywords = {{INDONESIE} ; {MADAGASCAR} ; {PAPOUASIE} {NOUVELLE} {GUINEE} ; {PHILIPPINES} ; {TANZANIE} ; {OCEAN} {INDIEN} ; {PACIFIQUE} ; {ZONE} {TROPICALE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{N}ature {C}ommunications},
  volume = {13},
  numero = {1},
  pages = {3530 [11 ]},
  year = {2022},
  DOI = {10.1038/s41467-022-30991-4},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010085412},
}