@article{fdi:010085319,
  title = {{M}illet and sorghum yield simulations under climate change scenarios in {S}enegal},
  author = {{F}aye, {A}. and {C}amara, {I}. and {D}iop, {M}. and {O}ury{D}iallo, {A}. and {S}ine, {B}. and {N}oblet, {M}. and {F}aye, {B}abacar and {D}efrance, {D}imitri and {S}ultan, {B}enjamin and {N}dour, {N}. {Y}. {B}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{C}ereal production systems in semi-arid environments in {S}enegal are extensive and highly depend on weather and climaterelated effects. {A}ssessing climate change impacts on the main staple food crops is essential to ensure food security. {T}his study aims to assess climate change impacts on millet and sorghum in {N}iakhar and {T}oubacouta, two locations in the {S}enegalese groundnut basin. {F}ield experiment and climate data from {RCP}4.5 and {RCP}8.5 greenhouse gas concentration pathways were used to simulate future crop yield and growth cycle length. {F}or each crop, two varieties were considered, a short (90 days) and a long (120 days) maturation cycle. {P}rojections made using the {SARRA}-{O} model showed a downward trend of crop yield for all considered varieties and scenarios. {T}hese results were, however, more pronounced for the short-cycle variety. {I}n addition, the short-cycle variety showed greater variability in yield trends with larger confidence intervals. {I}n {N}iakhar, millet and sorghum yield loss for short duration is estimated around 30% by 2050, while the long-cycle variety yield gap was less than 20% compared to the reference period yield (1976-2005). {M}illet and sorghum yield reduction by 2050 is less pronounced in {T}oubacouta with around 20%. {A} slight relationship was inferred between rainfall and yield change, whereas a significant negative linear relationship was inferred between temperature and yield change. {T}he future impact of climate change on these cereals would be mainly a loss of yield induced by rising temperatures. {T}hus, a thorough consideration of temperature effects will be essential for better adapting cereal production to future climatic conditions.},
  keywords = {{C}rop yields ; {M}illet ; {S}orghum ; {C}limate change ; {S}enegal ; {SENEGAL}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{R}egional {E}nvironmental {C}hange},
  volume = {22},
  numero = {3},
  pages = {86 [11 p.]},
  ISSN = {1436-3798},
  year = {2022},
  DOI = {10.1007/s10113-022-01940-0},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010085319},
}