@article{fdi:010082608,
  title = {{I}dentifying uncertainties in scenarios and models of socio-ecological systems in support of decision-making},
  author = {{R}ounsevell, {M}. {D}. {A}. and {A}rneth, {A}. and {B}rown, {C}. and {C}heung, {W}. {W}. {L}. and {G}imenez, {O}. and {H}olman, {I}. and {L}eadley, {P}. and {L}ujan, {C}. and {M}ahevas, {S}. and {M}arechaux, {I}. and {P}{\'e}lissier, {R}apha{\¨e}l and {V}erburg, {P}. {H}. and {V}ieilledent, {G}. and {W}intle, {B}. {A}. and {S}hin, {Y}unne-{J}ai},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{T}here are many sources of uncertainty in scenarios and models of socio-ecological systems, and understanding these uncertainties is critical in supporting informed decision-making about the management of natural resources. {H}ere, we review uncertainty across the steps needed to create socio-ecological scenarios, from narrative storylines to the representation of human and biological processes in models and the estimation of scenario and model parameters. {W}e find that socio-ecological scenarios and models would benefit from moving away from "stylized"approaches that do not consider a wide range of direct drivers and their dependency on indirect drivers. {I}ndeed, a greater focus on the social phenomena is fundamental in under-standing the functioning of nature on a human-dominated planet. {T}here is no panacea for dealing with uncertainty, but several approaches to evaluating uncertainty are still not routinely applied in scenario modeling, and this is becoming increasingly unacceptable. {H}owever, it is important to avoid uncertainties becoming an excuse for inaction in decision-making when facing environmental challenges.},
  keywords = {},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{O}ne {E}arth},
  volume = {4},
  numero = {7},
  pages = {967--985},
  ISSN = {2590-3330},
  year = {2021},
  DOI = {10.1016/j.oneear.2021.06.003},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010082608},
}