@article{fdi:010080573, title = {{T}he impact of lockdown strategies targeting age groups on the burden of {COVID}-19 in {F}rance}, author = {{R}oche, {B}enjamin and {G}architorena, {A}ndres and {R}oiz, {D}avid}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{D}ue to the {COVID}-19 pandemic, many countries have implemented a complete lockdown of their population that may not be sustainable for long. {T}o identify the best strategy to replace this full lockdown, sophisticated models that rely on mobility data have been developed. {I}n this study, using the example of {F}rance as a case-study, we develop a simple model considering contacts between age classes to derive the general impact of partial lockdown strategies targeted at specific age groups. {W}e found that epidemic suppression can only be achieved by targeting isolation of young and middle age groups with high efficiency. {A}ll other strategies tested result in a flatter epidemic curve, with outcomes in (e.g. mortality and health system over-capacity) dependent of the age groups targeted and the isolation efficiency. {T}argeting only the elderly can decrease the expected mortality burden, but in proportions lower than more integrative strategies involving several age groups. {W}hile not aiming to provide quantitative forecasts, our study shows the benefits and constraints of different partial lockdown strategies, which could help guide decision-making.}, keywords = {{COVID}-19 ; {M}athematical model ; {Q}uarantine ; {FRANCE}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{E}pidemics}, volume = {33}, numero = {}, pages = {100424 [7 ]}, ISSN = {1755-4365}, year = {2020}, DOI = {10.1016/j.epidem.2020.100424}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010080573}, }