@article{fdi:010079557,
  title = {{L}ong-term precipitation in {S}outhwestern {E}urope reveals no clear trend attributable to anthropogenic forcing},
  author = {{P}ena-{A}ngulo, {D}. and {V}icente-{S}errano, {S}. {M}. and {D}ominguez-{C}astro, {F}. and {M}urphy, {C}. and {R}eig, {F}. and {T}ramblay, {Y}ves and {T}rigo, {R}. {M}. and {L}una, {M}. {Y}. and {T}urco, {M}. and {N}oguera, {I}. and {A}znarez-{B}alta, {M}. and {G}arcia-{H}errera, {R}. and {T}omas-{B}urguera, {M}. and {E}l {K}enawy, {A}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{W}e present a long-term assessment of precipitation trends in {S}outhwestern {E}urope (1850-2018) using data from multiple sources, including observations, gridded datasets and global climate model experiments. {C}ontrary to previous investigations based on shorter records, we demonstrate, using new long-term, quality controlled precipitation series, the lack of statistically significant long-term decreasing trends in precipitation for the region. {R}ather, significant trends were mostly found for shorter periods, highlighting the prevalence of interdecadal and interannual variability at these time-scales. {G}lobal climate model outputs from three {CMIP} experiments are evaluated for periods concurrent with observations. {B}oth the {CMIP}3 and {CMIP}5 ensembles show precipitation decline, with only {CMIP}6 showing agreement with long term trends in observations. {H}owever, for both {CMIP}3 and {CMIP}5 large interannual and internal variability among ensemble members makes it difficult to identify a trend that is statistically different from observations. {A}cross both observations and models, our results make it difficult to associate any declining trends in precipitation in {S}outhwestern {E}urope to anthropogenic forcing at this stage.},
  keywords = {{S}outhwestern {E}urope ; global climate model ; precipitation ; anthropogenic forcing ; trends ; {EUROPE} ; {ZONE} {MEDITERRANEENNE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{E}nvironmental {R}esearch {L}etters},
  volume = {15},
  numero = {9},
  pages = {094070 [12 p.]},
  ISSN = {1748-9326},
  year = {2020},
  DOI = {10.1088/1748-9326/ab9c4f},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010079557},
}