@article{fdi:010077940, title = {{P}otential impact of climate change on solar resource in {A}frica for photovoltaic energy : analyses from {CORDEX}-{AFRICA} climate experiments}, author = {{B}ichet, {A}deline and {H}ingray, {B}. and {E}vin, {G}. and {D}iedhiou, {A}rona and {K}ebe, {C}. {M}. {F}. and {A}nquetin, {S}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{T}he development of renewable electricity in {A}frica could be massive in coming decades, as a response to the rapid rising electricity demand while complying with the {P}aris {A}greements. {T}his study shows that in the high-resolution climate experiments of {CORDEX}-{AFRICA}, the annual mean solar potential is expected to decrease on average by 4% over most of the continent by the end of the century, reaching up to 6% over the {H}orn of {A}frica, as a direct result of decrease in solar radiation and increase in air surface temperature. {T}hese projections are associated with large uncertainties, in particular over the {S}ahel and the elevated terrains of eastern {A}frica. {W}hile the expected decrease may affect the sizing of the numerous solar projects planned in {A}frica for the next decades, this study suggests that it does not endanger their viability. {A}t last, this study indicates that the design of such projects also needs to account for the non-negligible uncertainties associated with the resource.}, keywords = {solar potential ; solar radiation change ; climate change ; model ; projections ; solar resource assessment ; {B}ayesian{ANOVA}method ; {AFRIQUE}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{E}nvironmental {R}esearch {L}etters}, volume = {14}, numero = {12}, pages = {124039 [13 ]}, ISSN = {1748-9326}, year = {2019}, DOI = {10.1088/1748-9326/ab500a}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010077940}, }