@article{fdi:010077308,
  title = {{E}merging human infectious diseases of aquatic origin : a comparative biogeographic approach using {B}ayesian spatial modelling},
  author = {{J}agadesh, {S}oushieta and {C}ombe, {M}arine and {C}ouppie, {P}. and {L}e {T}urnier, {P}. and {E}pelboin, {L}. and {N}acher, {M}. and {G}ozlan, {R}odolphe},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{B}ackground{W}ith the increase in unprecedented and unpredictable disease outbreaks due to human-driven environmental changes in recent years, we need new analytical tools to map and predict the spatial distribution of emerging infectious diseases and identify the biogeographic drivers underpinning their emergence. {T}he aim of the study was to identify and compare the local and global biogeographic predictors such as landscape and climate that determine the spatial structure of leptospirosis and {B}uruli {U}lcer ({BU}).{M}ethods{W}e obtained 232 hospital-confirmed leptospirosis (2007-2017) cases and 236 {BU} cases (1969-2017) in {F}rench {G}uiana. {W}e performed non-spatial and spatial {B}ayesian regression modeling with landscape and climate predictor variables to characterize the spatial structure and the environmental drivers influencing the distribution of the two diseases.{R}esults{O}ur results show that the distribution of both diseases is spatially dependent on environmental predictors such as elevation, topological wetness index, proximity to cropland and increasing minimum temperature at the month of potential infection. {H}owever, the spatial structure of the two diseases caused by bacterial pathogens occupying similar aquatic niche was different. {L}eptospirosis was widely distributed across the territory while {BU} was restricted to the coastal riverbeds.{C}onclusions{O}ur study shows that a biogeographic approach is an effective tool to identify, compare and predict the geographic distribution of emerging diseases at an ecological scale which are spatially dependent to environmental factors such as topography, land cover and climate.},
  keywords = {{O}utbreaks ; {B}acterial diseases ; {B}uruli {U}lcer ; {L}eptospirosis ; {F}rench {G}uiana ; {U}rban environment ; {GUYANE} {FRANCAISE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{I}nternational {J}ournal of {H}ealth {G}eographics},
  volume = {18},
  numero = {1},
  pages = {23 [12 ]},
  ISSN = {1476-072{X}},
  year = {2019},
  DOI = {10.1186/s12942-019-0188-6},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010077308},
}