Publications des scientifiques de l'IRD

Rivoire P., Tramblay Yves, Neppel L., Hertig E., Vicente-Serrano S. M. (2019). Impact of the dry-day definition on Mediterranean extreme dry-spell analysis. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 19 (8), 1629-1638. ISSN 1561-8633.

Titre du document
Impact of the dry-day definition on Mediterranean extreme dry-spell analysis
Année de publication
2019
Type de document
Article référencé dans le Web of Science WOS:000478951800001
Auteurs
Rivoire P., Tramblay Yves, Neppel L., Hertig E., Vicente-Serrano S. M.
Source
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2019, 19 (8), 1629-1638 ISSN 1561-8633
To define a dry day, the most common approach is to identify a fixed threshold below which precipitation is considered equivalent to zero. This fixed threshold is usually set to account for measurement errors and precipitation losses due to the atmospheric evaporation demand. Yet, this threshold could vary in time according to the seasonal cycle and in the context of long-term trends, such as the increase in temperature due to climate change. In this study, we compare extreme dry spells, defined either with a fixed threshold for a dry day (1 mm) or with a time-varying threshold estimated from reference evapotranspiration (ET0), for a large database of 160 rain gauges covering large parts of the Mediterranean basin. Results indicated positive trends in ET0 during summer months (June, July and August) in particular. However, these trends do not imply longer dry spells since the daily precipitation intensities remain higher than the increase in the evaporative demand. Results also indicated a seasonal behavior: in winter the distribution of extreme dry spells is similar when considering a fixed threshold (1 mm) or a time-varying threshold defined with ET0. However, during summer, the extreme dry-spell durations estimated with a 1 mm threshold are strongly underestimated in comparison to extreme dry spells computed with ET0. We stress the need to account for the atmospheric evaporative demand instead of using fixed thresholds for defining a dry day when analyzing dry spells, with respect to agricultural impacts in particular.
Plan de classement
Hydrologie [062] ; Bioclimatologie [072]
Descripteurs
ZONE MEDITERRANEENNE
Localisation
Fonds IRD [F B010076544]
Identifiant IRD
fdi:010076544
Contact