@article{fdi:010074788, title = {{C}ompositional response of {A}mazon forests to climate change}, author = {{E}squivel-{M}uelbert, {A}. and {B}aker, {T}. {R}. and {D}exter, {K}. {G}. and {L}ewis, {S}. {L}. and {B}rienen, {R}. {J}. {W}. and {F}eldpausch, {T}. {R}. and {L}loyd, {J}. and {M}onteagudo-{M}endoza, {A}. and {A}rroyo, {L}. and {A}lvarez-{D}avila, {E}. and {H}iguchi, {N}. and {M}arimon, {B}. {S}. and {M}arimon-{J}unior, {B}. {H}. and {S}ilveira, {M}. and {V}ilanova, {E}. and {G}loor, {E}. and {M}alhi, {Y}. and {C}have, {J}. and {B}arlow, {J}. and {B}onal, {D}. and {D}avila {C}ardozo, {N}. and {E}rwin, {T}. and {F}auset, {S}. and {H}erault, {B}. and {L}aurance, {S}. and {P}oorter, {L}. and {Q}ie, {L}. and {S}tahl, {C}. and {S}ullivan, {M}. {J}. {P}. and ter {S}teege, {H}. and {V}os, {V}. {A}. and {Z}uidema, {P}. {A}. and {A}lmeida, {E}. and {A}lmeida de {O}liveira, {E}. and {A}ndrade, {A}. and {V}ieira, {S}. {A}. and {A}ragao, {L}. and {A}raujo-{M}urakami, {A}. and {A}rets, {E}. and {A}ymard {C}, {G}. {A}. and {B}araloto, {C}. and {C}amargo, {P}. {B}. and {B}arroso, {J}. {G}. and {B}ongers, {F}. and {B}oot, {R}. and {C}amargo, {J}. {L}. and {C}astro, {W}. and {C}hama {M}oscoso, {V}. and {C}omiskey, {J}. and {C}ornejo {V}alverde, {F}. and {L}ola da {C}osta, {A}. {C}. and del {A}guila {P}asquel, {J}. and {D}i {F}iore, {A}. and {F}ernanda {D}uque, {L}. and {E}lias, {F}. and {E}ngel, {J}. and {F}lores {L}lampazo, {G}. and {G}albraith, {D}. and {H}errera {F}ernandez, {R}. and {H}onorio {C}oronado, {E}. and {H}ubau, {W}. and {J}imenez-{R}ojas, {E}. and {L}ima, {A}. {J}. {N}. and {U}metsu, {R}. {K}. and {L}aurance, {W}. and {L}opez-{G}onzalez, {G}. and {L}ovejoy, {T}. and {A}urelio {M}elo {C}ruz, {O}. and {M}orandi, {P}. {S}. and {N}eill, {D}. and {N}unez {V}argas, {P}. and {P}allqui {C}amacho, {N}. {C}. and {P}arada {G}utierrez, {A}. and {P}ardo, {G}. and {P}eacock, {J}. and {P}ena-{C}laros, {M}. and {P}enuela-{M}ora, {M}. {C}. and {P}etronelli, {P}. and {P}ickavance, {G}. {C}. and {P}itman, {N}. and {P}rieto, {A}. and {Q}uesada, {C}. and {R}amirez-{A}ngulo, {H}. and {R}{\'e}jou-{M}{\'e}chain, {M}axime and {R}estrepo {C}orrea, {Z}. and {R}oopsind, {A}. and {R}udas, {A}. and {S}alomao, {R}. and {S}ilva, {N}. and {S}ilva {E}spejo, {J}. and {S}ingh, {J}. and {S}tropp, {J}. and {T}erborgh, {J}. and {T}homas, {R}. and {T}oledo, {M}. and {T}orres-{L}ezama, {A}. and {V}alenzuela {G}amarra, {L}. and van de {M}eer, {P}. {J}. and van der {H}eijden, {G}. and van der {H}out, {P}. and {V}asquez {M}artinez, {R}. and {V}ela, {C}. and {V}ieira, {I}. {C}. {G}. and {P}hillips, {O}. {L}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{M}ost of the planet's diversity is concentrated in the tropics, which includes many regions undergoing rapid climate change. {Y}et, while climate-induced biodiversity changes are widely documented elsewhere, few studies have addressed this issue for lowland tropical ecosystems. {H}ere we investigate whether the floristic and functional composition of intact lowland {A}mazonian forests have been changing by evaluating records from 106 long-term inventory plots spanning 30 years. {W}e analyse three traits that have been hypothesized to respond to different environmental drivers (increase in moisture stress and atmospheric {CO}2 concentrations): maximum tree size, biogeographic water-deficit affiliation and wood density. {T}ree communities have become increasingly dominated by large-statured taxa, but to date there has been no detectable change in mean wood density or water deficit affiliation at the community level, despite most forest plots having experienced an intensification of the dry season. {H}owever, among newly recruited trees, dry-affiliated genera have become more abundant, while the mortality of wet-affiliated genera has increased in those plots where the dry season has intensified most. {T}hus, a slow shift to a more dry-affiliated {A}mazonia is underway, with changes in compositional dynamics (recruits and mortality) consistent with climate-change drivers, but yet to significantly impact whole-community composition. {T}he {A}mazon observational record suggests that the increase in atmospheric {CO}2 is driving a shift within tree communities to large-statured species and that climate changes to date will impact forest composition, but long generation times of tropical trees mean that biodiversity change is lagging behind climate change.}, keywords = {bioclimatic niches ; climate change ; compositional shifts ; functional ; traits ; temporal trends ; tropical forests ; {AMAZONIE}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{G}lobal {C}hange {B}iology}, volume = {25}, numero = {1}, pages = {39--56}, ISSN = {1354-1013}, year = {2019}, DOI = {10.1111/gcb.14413}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010074788}, }