@article{fdi:010074509,
  title = {{T}he impact of future climate change and potential adaptation methods on {M}aize yields in {W}est {A}frica},
  author = {{P}arkes, {B}. and {S}ultan, {B}enjamin and {C}iais, {P}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{M}aize ({Z}ea mays) is one of the staple crops of {W}est {A}frica and is therefore of high importance with regard to future food security. {T}he ability of {W}est {A}frica to produce enough food is critical as the population is expected to increase well into the twenty-first century. {I}n this study, a process-based crop model is used to project maize yields in {A}frica for global temperatures 2 {K} and 4 {K} above the preindustrial control. {T}his study investigates how yields and crop failure rates are influenced by climate change and the efficacy of adaptation methods to mitigate the effects of climate change. {T}o account for the uncertainties in future climate projections, multiple model runs have been performed at specific warming levels of +2 {K} and +4 {K} to give a better estimate of future crop yields. {U}nder a warming of +2 {K}, the maize yield is projected to reduce by 5.9% with an increase in both mild and severe crop failure rates. {M}ild and severe crop failures are yields 1 and 1.5 standard deviations below the observed yield. {A}t a warming of +4 {K}, the results show a yield reduction of 37% and severe crop failures which previously only occurred once in 19.7 years are expected to happen every 2.5 years. {C}rops simulated with a resistance to high temperature stress show an increase in yields in all climate conditions compared to unadapted crops; however, they still experience more crop failures than the unadapted crop in the control climate.},
  keywords = {{AFRIQUE} {DE} {L}'{OUEST}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{C}limatic {C}hange},
  volume = {151},
  numero = {2},
  pages = {205--217},
  ISSN = {0165-0009},
  year = {2018},
  DOI = {10.1007/s10584-018-2290-3},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010074509},
}