@article{fdi:010074346, title = {{T}hermal pace-of-life strategies improve phenological predictions in ectotherms}, author = {{S}truelens, {Q}uentin and {R}ebaudo, {F}ran{\c{c}}ois and {Q}uispe, {R}. and {D}angles, {O}livier}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{P}henological variability among populations is widespread in nature. {A} few predictive phenological models integrate intrapopulational variability, but none has ever explored the individual strategies potentially occurring within a population. {T}he "pace-of-life" syndrome accounts for such individual strategies, but has yet to be explored under a phenological context. {H}ere we integrated, for the first time, the slow-fast thermal strategies stemming from the "pace-of-life" into a mechanistic predictive framework. {W}e obtained 4619 phenological observations of an important crop pest in the {B}olivian {A}ndes by individually following 840 individuals under five rearing temperatures and across nine life stages. {T}he model calibrated with the observed individual "pace-of-life" strategies showed a higher accuracy in phenological predictions than when accounting for intrapopulational variability alone. {W}e further explored our framework with generated data and suggest that ectotherm species with a high number of life stages and with slow and/or fast individuals should exhibit a greater variance of populational phenology, resulting in a potentially longer time window of interaction with other species. {W}e believe that the "pace-of-life" framework is a promising approach to improve phenological prediction across a wide array of species.}, keywords = {{BOLIVIE} ; {ANDES}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{S}cientific {R}eports - {N}ature}, volume = {8}, numero = {}, pages = {art. 15891 [9 p.]}, ISSN = {2045-2322}, year = {2018}, DOI = {10.1038/s41598-018-34274-1}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010074346}, }