@article{fdi:010073725,
  title = {{P}rojected heat stress under 1.5 degrees {C} and 2 degrees {C} global warming scenarios creates unprecedented discomfort for humans in {W}est {A}frica},
  author = {{S}ylla, {M}. {B}. and {F}aye, {A}. and {G}iorgi, {F}. and {D}iedhiou, {A}rona and {K}unstmann, {H}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{H}eat and discomfort indices are applied to the multimodel ensemble mean of {CO}ordinated {R}egional climate {D}ownscaling {EX}periment-{A}frica regional climate model projections to investigate future changes in heat stress and the proportion of human population at risk under 1.5 degrees {C} and 2 degrees {C} global warming scenarios over {W}est {A}frica. {T}he results show that heat stress of category {E}xtreme {C}aution is projected to extend spatially (up to 25%) over most of the {G}ulf of {G}uinea, {S}ahel, and {S}ahara desert areas, with different regional coverage during the various seasons. {S}imilarly, the projected seasonal proportion of human population at discomfort substantially increases to more than 50% over most of the region. {I}n particular, in {J}une-{A}ugust over the {S}ahel and the western {S}ahara desert, new areas (15% of {W}est {A}frica) where most of the population is at risk emerge. {T}his indicates that from 50% to almost everyone over most of the {S}ahel countries and part of the western {S}ahara desert is at risk of possible heat cramp, heat exhaustion, and heat stroke in future climate scenarios. {T}hese conditions become more frequent and are accompanied by the emergence of days with dangerous heat stress category during which everyone feels discomfort and is vulnerable to a likely heat cramp and heat exhaustion. {I}n general, all the above features are more extended and more frequent in the 2 degrees {C} than in the 1.5 degrees {C} scenario. {P}rotective measures are thus required for outdoor workers, occupational settings in hot environments, and people engaged in strenuous activities.},
  keywords = {projected heat stress ; human discomfort ; global warming scenarios ; {P}aris ; {A}greement ; {AFRIQUE} {DE} {L}'{OUEST}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{E}arths {F}uture},
  volume = {6},
  numero = {7},
  pages = {1029--1044},
  ISSN = {2328-4277},
  year = {2018},
  DOI = {10.1029/2018ef000873},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010073725},
}