@article{fdi:010072684, title = {{O}n the chaotic variability of deep convection in the {M}editerranean {S}ea}, author = {{W}aldman, {R}. and {S}omot, {S}. and {H}errmann, {M}arine and {S}evault, {F}. and {I}sachsen, {P}. {E}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{C}haotic intrinsic variability is a fundamental driver of the oceanic variability. {I}ts understanding is key to interpret observations, evaluate numerical models, and predict the future ocean and climate. {H}ere we study intrinsic variability of deep convection in the northwestern {M}editerranean {S}ea using an ensemble eddy-resolving hindcast simulation over the period 1979-2013. {W}e find that the variability of deep convection is mostly forced but also, to a considerable extent, intrinsic. {T}he intrinsic variability can dominate the total convection variability locally and over a single winter. {I}t also makes up a significant fraction of its interannual variability but has only modest impacts on the long-term mean state. {W}e find that the occurrence of deep convection is random 18% of years at the basin scale, and 29% locally at the {LION} observational site. {S}patially, the intrinsic variability is highest far from the continental shelf. {W}e relate this pattern to baroclinic instability theory that takes bottom stabilization into account.}, keywords = {deep convection ; {I}ntrinsic {O}cean {V}ariability ; ocean modeling ; baroclinic ; instability ; {M}editerranean {S}ea ; {MEDITERRANNEE}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{G}eophysical {R}esearch {L}etters}, volume = {45}, numero = {5}, pages = {2433--2443}, ISSN = {0094-8276}, year = {2018}, DOI = {10.1002/2017gl076319}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010072684}, }