@article{fdi:010072362, title = {{C}onsequences of an uncertain mass mortality regime triggered by climate variability on giant clam population management in the {P}acific {O}cean}, author = {{V}an {W}ynsberge, {S}. and {A}ndr{\'e}fou{\¨e}t, {S}erge and {G}aertner-{M}azouni, {N}. and {R}emoissenet, {G}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{D}espite actions to manage sustainably tropical {P}acific {O}cean reef fisheries, managers have faced failures and frustrations because of unpredicted mass mortality events triggered by climate variability. {T}he consequences of these events on the long-term population dynamics of living resources need to be better understood for better management decisions. {H}ere, we use a giant clam ({T}ridacna maxima) spatially explicit population model to compare the efficiency of several management strategies under various scenarios of natural mortality, including mass mortality due to climatic anomalies. {T}he model was parameterized by in situ estimations of growth and mortality and fishing effort, and was validated by historical and new in situ surveys of giant clam stocks in two {F}rench {P}olynesia lagoons. {P}rojections on the long run (100 years) suggested that the best management strategy was a decrease of fishing pressure through quota implementation, regardless of the mortality regime considered. {I}n contrast, increasing the minimum legal size of catch and closing areas to fishing were less efficient. {W}hen high mortality occurred due to climate variability, the efficiency of all management scenarios decreased markedly. {S}imulating {E}l {N}ifio {S}outhern {O}scillation event by adding temporal autocorrelation in natural mortality rates increased the natural variability of stocks, and also decreased the efficiency of management. {T}hese results highlight the difficulties that managers in small {P}acific islands can expect in the future in the face of global warming, climate anomalies and new mass mortalities.}, keywords = {{C}limate change ; {S}tock decrease ; {L}agoon enclosure ; {P}opulation viable analysis ; {S}patially explicit modelling ; {T}ridacna maxima ; {PACIFIQUE}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{T}heoretical {P}opulation {B}iology}, volume = {119}, numero = {}, pages = {37--47}, ISSN = {0040-5809}, year = {2018}, DOI = {10.1016/j.tpb.2017.10.005}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010072362}, }