@article{fdi:010071338,
  title = {{P}rojected changes in temperature and precipitation indices in {M}orocco from high-resolution regional climate models},
  author = {{F}ilahi, {S}. and {T}ramblay, {Y}ves and {M}ouhir, {L}. and {D}iaconescu, {E}. {P}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{T}he climate of {M}orocco is characterized by a strong spatial and inter-annual variability. {T}his study provides an evaluation of high-resolution regional climate model ({RCM}) simulations of precipitation and temperature over {M}orocco and future projections based on two emission scenarios. {T}he evaluation of the {RCM} ensemble over the historical period is performed with a network of 20 weather stations, using {T}aylor and {P}ortrait diagrams. {T}he results show that the four simulations considered ({CLM}, {CNRM}, {KNMI} and {IPSL}) are generally able to simulate climate indices and no model is performing significantly better. {T}his ensemble of {RCM} simulations captures the precipitation and temperature spatiotemporal patterns in the evaluation and historical runs. {C}limate change scenarios are presented with the goal to identify spatial patterns of change over {M}orocco, to provide information for climate policy and adaptation. {T}he {RCP}4.5 and {RCP}8.5 emission scenarios are considered for two time horizons, 2036-2065 and 2066-2095. {A} large increase in temperature is observed by the end of the century in particular for the {RCP}8.5 scenario over the {S}outheast regions. {T}he minimum temperature is expected to increase more than maximum temperature in most parts of {M}orocco, with the exception of the {E}astern regions. {T}he different {RCM}s show a strong agreement towards similar changes for most temperature-based indices. {T}he climate change signal is less homogeneous in the different simulations for most of the precipitation indices. {N}evertheless, there is a clear decrease of precipitation totals in the different simulations, following a north to south gradient. {H}owever, for heavy rainfall events, there are strong uncertainties in projections and the four {RCM} simulations disagree about the future changes.},
  keywords = {{M}orocco ; climate change ; temperature ; precipitation ; {RCM} ; {CORDEX} ; {MAROC}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{I}nternational {J}ournal of {C}limatology},
  volume = {37},
  numero = {14},
  pages = {4846--4863},
  ISSN = {0899-8418},
  year = {2017},
  DOI = {10.1002/joc.5127},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010071338},
}