@article{fdi:010071069,
  title = {{F}rom shared socio-economic pathways ({SSP}s) to oceanic system pathways ({OSP}s): {B}uilding policy-relevant scenarios for global oceanic ecosystems and fisheries},
  author = {{M}aury, {O}livier and {C}ampling, {L}. and {A}rrizabalaga, {H}. and {A}umont, {O}livier and {B}opp, {L}. and {M}erino, {G}. and {S}quires, {D}. and {C}heung, {W}. and {G}oujon, {M}. and {G}uivarch, {C}. and {L}efort, {S}. and {M}arsac, {F}rancis and {M}onteagudo, {P}. and {M}urtugudde, {R}. and {O}uml;sterblom, {H}. and {P}ulvenis, {J}. {F}. and {Y}e, {Y}. and van {R}uijven, {B}. {J}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{T}here is an urgent need for developing policy-relevant future scenarios of biodiversity and ecosystem services. {T}his paper is a milestone toward this aim focusing on open ocean fisheries. {W}e develop five contrasting {O}ceanic {S}ystem {P}athways ({OSP}s), based on the existing five archetypal worlds of {S}hared {S}ocioeconomic {P}athways ({SSP}s) developed for climate change research (e.g., {N}akicenovic et al., 2014 and {R}iahi et al., 2016). {F}irst, we specify the boundaries of the oceanic social-ecological system under focus. {S}econd, the two major driving forces of oceanic social-ecological systems are identified in each of three domains, viz., economy, management and governance. {F}or each {OSP} ({OSP}1 "sustainability first", {OSP}2 "conventional trends", {OSP}3 "dislocation", {OSP}4 "global elite and inequality", {OSP}5 "high tech and market"), a storyline is outlined describing the evolution of the driving forces with the corresponding {SSP}. {F}inally, we compare the different pathways of oceanic social-ecological systems by projecting them in the two-dimensional spaces defined by the driving forces, in each of the economy, management and governance domains. {W}e expect that the {OSP}s will serve as a common basis for future model based scenario studies in the context of the {I}ntergovernmental {P}anel on {C}limate {C}hange ({IPCC}) and the {I}ntergovernmental {P}latform on {B}iodiversity and {E}cosystem {S}ervices ({IPBES}).},
  keywords = {{S}cenarios ; {O}ceanic fisheries ; {S}hared socioeconomic pathways ({SSP}s) ; {O}ceanic system pathways ({OSP}s) ; {E}conomy ; {M}anagement ; {G}overnance ; {MONDE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{G}lobal {E}nvironmental {C}hange-{H}uman and {P}olicy {D}imensions},
  volume = {45},
  numero = {},
  pages = {203--216},
  ISSN = {0959-3780},
  year = {2017},
  DOI = {10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.06.007},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010071069},
}