@article{fdi:010071054, title = {{A} threefold rise in widespread extreme rain events over central {I}ndia}, author = {{R}oxy, {M}. {K}. and {G}hosh, {S}. and {P}athak, {A}. and {A}thulya, {R}. and {M}ujumdar, {M}. and {M}urtugudde, {R}. and {T}erray, {P}ascal and {R}ajeevan, {M}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{S}ocioeconomic challenges continue to mount for half a billion residents of central {I}ndia because of a decline in the total rainfall and a concurrent rise in the magnitude and frequency of extreme rainfall events. {A}longside a weakening monsoon circulation, the locally available moisture and the frequency of moisture-laden depressions from the {B}ay of {B}engal have also declined. {H}ere we show that despite these negative trends, there is a threefold increase in widespread extreme rain events over central {I}ndia during 1950-2015. {T}he rise in these events is due to an increasing variability of the low-level monsoon westerlies over the {A}rabian {S}ea, driving surges of moisture supply, leading to extreme rainfall episodes across the entire central subcontinent. {T}he homogeneity of these severe weather events and their association with the ocean temperatures underscores the potential predictability of these events by two-to-three weeks, which offers hope in mitigating their catastrophic impact on life, agriculture and property.}, keywords = {{INDE}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{N}ature {C}ommunications}, volume = {8}, numero = {}, pages = {art. 708 [11 p.]}, ISSN = {2041-1723}, year = {2017}, DOI = {10.1038/s41467-017-00744-9}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010071054}, }