@article{fdi:010070193, title = {{P}redicting impacts of south-to-north water transfer project on fish assemblages in {H}ongze {L}ake, {C}hina}, author = {{L}in, {M}. {L}. and {L}ek, {S}. and {R}en, {P}. and {L}i, {S}. {H}. and {L}i, {W}. and {D}u, {X}. and {G}uo, {C}. {B}. and {G}ozlan, {R}odolphe and {L}i, {Z}. {J}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{T}he {C}hinese government implemented the ambitious south-north water transfer project ({SNWTP}), which aims to transport water from the {Y}angtze to the north of {C}hina where water shortages are severe. {A}lthough the ecological impacts of this project have been addressed publically, there remains a poor understanding of the effects of such large-scale water transfers on the populations of aquatic species. {T}he potential ecological impacts of such water transfers on the {H}ongze {L}ake fish assemblages are assessed here using {S}elf-{O}rganizing {M}ap ({SOM}) and {R}andom {F}orest ({RF}) modeling. {U}sing {SOM}, twenty-three fish species in 15 sampling sites were classified into two assemblages and four sub-assemblages corresponding to four distinct habitats (deep water macrophytes, deep water bare silt, shallow water bare silt, and shallow water macrophytes). {T}he {RF} model further showed that water depth and transparency were the abiotic drivers underpinning fish assemblages in {H}ongze {L}ake. {A}s the {SNWTP} is forecasted to modify the distribution of water depth and water clarity, major knock-on effects are expected on downstream lake fish assemblages.}, keywords = {{CHINE} ; {YANGTZE} ; {HONGZE} {LAC}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{J}ournal of {A}pplied {I}chthyology}, volume = {33}, numero = {3}, pages = {395--402}, ISSN = {0175-8659}, year = {2017}, DOI = {10.1111/jai.13251}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010070193}, }