@article{fdi:010070109, title = {{I}mpact du changement climatique sur l'{\'e}volution de l'{\'e}rosivit{\'e} des pluies dans le {R}if {O}ccidental ({N}ord du {M}aroc)}, author = {{C}houkri, {F}. and {C}hikhaoui, {M}. and {N}aimi, {M}. and {R}aclot, {D}amien and {P}{\'e}pin, {Y}annick and {L}afia, {K}.}, editor = {}, language = {{FRE}}, abstract = {{T}he rainfall erosivity factor ({R} factor in {U}niversal {S}oil {L}oss {E}quation), denoting rain energy, is a key factor for soil loss modeling. {I}ts present and future estimation is thus significant for any action related to soil and water conservation and planning. {T}he extended series of precipitations at high temporal resolution, essential to its evaluation, are not readily available in {M}orocco. {T}he objective of this study is to predict the evolution of rainfall erosivity by 2080 in the {W}estern {R}if, based on predictions of daily rain provided by the {G}eneral {C}limatic {M}odels ({GCM}s). {T}o reflect the seasonal variability of rainfall, and thus of {R} factor, a series of instantaneous rain measured over 35 consecutive years was used to monthly calibrate a model to calculate erosivity based of daily rainfall. {T}he application of this model to the predictions of different {GCM}s and for various scenarios of climate evolution in {W}estern {R}if shows a weak evolution of erosivity on an annual timescale but a very strong evolution of the latter according to seasons with a reduction in {R} factor during winter and spring, and a pronounced increase during summer and autumn. {T}his discernable change of the seasonality of rainfall erosivity is very useful for adjusting the evolution of agricultural practices and for selecting appropriate soil protection measures.}, keywords = {{EROSION} ; {SOL} {CULTIVE} ; {DEGRADATION} {DU} {SOL} ; {PRECIPITATION} ; {FACTEUR} {D}'{EROSION} ; {MODELISATION} ; {PREVISION} {CLIMATIQUE} ; {CHANGEMENT} {CLIMATIQUE} ; {MAROC} ; {RIF} {OCCIDENTAL}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{E}uropean {S}cientific {J}ournal}, volume = {12}, numero = {32}, pages = {79--93}, ISSN = {1857-7881}, year = {2016}, DOI = {10.19044/esj.2016.v12n32p79}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010070109}, }