@article{fdi:010069263,
  title = {{S}tructure in the variability of the basic reproductive number ({R}-0) for {Z}ika epidemics in the {P}acific islands},
  author = {{C}hampagne, {C}. and {S}althouse, {D}. {G}. and {P}aul, {R}. and {C}ao-{L}ormeau, {V}. {M}. and {R}oche, {B}enjamin and {C}azelles, {B}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{B}efore the outbreak that reached the {A}mericas in 2015, {Z}ika virus ({ZIKV}) circulated in {A}sia and the {P}acific: these past epidemics can be highly informative on the key parameters driving virus transmission, such as the basic reproduction number ({R}-0). {W}e compare two compartmental models with different mosquito representations, using surveillance and seroprevalence data for several {ZIKV} outbreaks in {P}acific islands ({Y}ap, {M}icronesia 2007, {T}ahiti and {M}oorea, {F}rench {P}olynesia 2013-2014, {N}ew {C}aledonia 2014). {M}odels are estimated in a stochastic framework with recent {B}ayesian techniques. {R}0 for the {P}acific {ZIKV} epidemics is estimated between 1.5 and 4.1, the smallest islands displaying higher and more variable values. {T}his relatively low range of {R}0 suggests that intervention strategies developed for other flaviviruses should enable as, if not more effective control of {ZIKV}. {O}ur study also highlights the importance of seroprevalence data for precise quantitative analysis of pathogen propagation, to design prevention and control strategies.},
  keywords = {{PACIFIQUE} ; {MICRONESIE} ; {POLYNESIE} {FRANCAISE} ; {NOUVELLE} {CALEDONIE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {e{L}ife},
  volume = {5},
  numero = {},
  pages = {e19874 [30 p.]},
  ISSN = {2050-084{X}},
  year = {2016},
  DOI = {10.7554/e{L}ife.19874.001},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010069263},
}