@article{fdi:010069010, title = {{I}nteracting regional-scale regime shifts for biodiversity and ecosystem services}, author = {{L}eadley, {P}. and {P}roenca, {V}. and {F}ernandez-{M}anjarres, {J}. and {P}ereira, {H}.{M}. and {O}berdorff, {T}hierry and et al.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{C}urrent trajectories of global change may lead to regime shifts at regional scales, driving coupled human-environment systems to highly degraded states in terms of biodiversity, ecosystem services, and human well-being. {F}or business-as-usual socioeconomic development pathways, regime shifts are projected to occur within the next several decades, to be difficult to reverse, and to have regional- to global-scale impacts on human society. {W}e provide an overview of ecosystem, socioeconomic, and biophysical mechanisms mediating regime shifts and illustrate how these interact at regional scales by aggregation, synergy, and spreading processes. {W}e give detailed examples of interactions for terrestrial ecosystems of central {S}outh {A}merica and for marine and coastal ecosystems of {S}outheast {A}sia. {T}his analysis suggests that degradation of biodiversity and, ecosystem services over the twenty-first century could be far greater than was previously predicted. {W}e identify key policy and management opportunities at regional to global scales to avoid these shifts.}, keywords = {{AMERIQUE} {DU} {SUD} ; {ASIE} {DU} {SUD} {EST} ; {ATLANTIQUE} ; {PACIFIQUE}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{B}ioscience}, volume = {64}, numero = {8}, pages = {665--679}, ISSN = {0006-3568}, year = {2014}, DOI = {10.1093/biosci/biu093}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010069010}, }