Publications des scientifiques de l'IRD

Leadley P., Proenca V., Fernandez-Manjarres J., Pereira H.M., Oberdorff Thierry, et al. (2014). Interacting regional-scale regime shifts for biodiversity and ecosystem services. Bioscience, 64 (8), p. 665-679. ISSN 0006-3568.

Titre du document
Interacting regional-scale regime shifts for biodiversity and ecosystem services
Année de publication
2014
Type de document
Article référencé dans le Web of Science WOS:000339988000005
Auteurs
Leadley P., Proenca V., Fernandez-Manjarres J., Pereira H.M., Oberdorff Thierry, et al.
Source
Bioscience, 2014, 64 (8), p. 665-679 ISSN 0006-3568
Current trajectories of global change may lead to regime shifts at regional scales, driving coupled human-environment systems to highly degraded states in terms of biodiversity, ecosystem services, and human well-being. For business-as-usual socioeconomic development pathways, regime shifts are projected to occur within the next several decades, to be difficult to reverse, and to have regional- to global-scale impacts on human society. We provide an overview of ecosystem, socioeconomic, and biophysical mechanisms mediating regime shifts and illustrate how these interact at regional scales by aggregation, synergy, and spreading processes. We give detailed examples of interactions for terrestrial ecosystems of central South America and for marine and coastal ecosystems of Southeast Asia. This analysis suggests that degradation of biodiversity and, ecosystem services over the twenty-first century could be far greater than was previously predicted. We identify key policy and management opportunities at regional to global scales to avoid these shifts.
Plan de classement
Sciences du milieu [021] ; Limnologie physique / Océanographie physique [032] ; Etudes, transformation, conservation du milieu naturel [082]
Localisation
Fonds IRD [F B010069010]
Identifiant IRD
fdi:010069010
Contact