@article{fdi:010066715,
  title = {{F}uture changes to the {I}ndonesian {T}hroughflow and {P}acific circulation : the differing role of wind and deep circulation changes},
  author = {{S}en {G}upta, {A}. and {M}c{G}regor, {S}. and van {S}ebille, {E}. and {G}anachaud, {A}lexandre and {B}rown, {J}. {N}. and {S}antoso, {A}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{C}limate models consistently project a substantial decrease in the {I}ndonesian {T}hroughflow ({ITF}) in response to enhanced greenhouse warming. {O}n interannual timescales {ITF} changes are largely related to tropical {P}acific wind variability. {H}owever, on the multidecadal timescales investigated here we demonstrate that regional winds and associated changes in the upper ocean circulation cannot explain the projected {ITF} decrease. {I}nstead, the decrease is related to a weakening in the northward flow of deep waters entering the {P}acific basin at similar to 40 degrees {S} and an associated reduction in the net basin-wide upwelling to the north of the southern tip of {A}ustralia. {T}his can be traced back to consistent changes in the {A}ntarctic {C}ircumpolar {C}urrent and {S}outhern {O}cean overturning, although questions still remain as to the ultimate drivers. {I}n contrast to the {ITF} decrease, substantial projected changes to the upper ocean circulation of the {P}acific basin are well explained by robust changes in the surface winds.},
  keywords = {{OCEAN} {INDIEN} ; {PACIFIQUE} ; {INDONESIE} ; {AUSTRAL} {OCEAN}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{G}eophysical {R}esearch {L}etters},
  volume = {43},
  numero = {4},
  pages = {1669--1678},
  ISSN = {0094-8276},
  year = {2016},
  DOI = {10.1002/2016gl067757},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010066715},
}