@article{fdi:010065509, title = {{T}ransposabilit{\'e} temporelle des param{\`e}tres de mod{\`e}les hydrologiques dans un contexte de changement climatique en {A}frique de l'{O}uest et {C}entrale}, author = {{O}uermi, {S}. and {P}aturel, {J}ean-{E}mmanuel and {K}arambiri, {H}.}, editor = {}, language = {{FRE}}, abstract = {{T}his paper investigates whether the calibrated parameter values for two rainfall-runoff models based on historical observed data can be used to reliably predict runoff responses to changes in future climate inputs. {A}nalyses are carried out using historical monthly climate and runoff data from 27 catchments in {W}est and {C}entral {A}frica. {B}etter performances are obtained when the models are calibrated on a dry period to predict runoff in a wet period. {S}imilarly, it is easier for the models calibrated on a period of large hydroclimatic variability to predict runoff in a period of small hydroclimatic variability than the contrary. {T}his paper tests also the assumption that transferability of rainfall-runoff models, variable hydroclimatic conditions, and local sensitivity of the model parameters can be linked. {T}he inconclusive results still show variability according to the chosen efficiency criteria and selected periods. {A}ll these results indicate that the transfer of model parameters from one period to another can introduce a significant error in runoff simulations, which means increased uncertainty in the assessment of impact of climate and environmental changes, an essential question for {W}est and {C}entral {A}frica.}, keywords = {{W}est {A}frica ; {C}entral {A}frica ; hydrological modelling ; climate change ; transferability of model parameters ; model sensitivity ; {AFRIQUE} {DE} {L}'{OUEST} ; {AFRIQUE} {CENTRALE}}, booktitle = {{A}frican hydrology research}, journal = {{H}ydrological {S}ciences {J}ournal = {J}ournal des {S}ciences {H}ydrologiques}, volume = {60}, numero = {11 no sp{\'e}cial}, pages = {1984--2002}, ISSN = {0262-6667}, year = {2015}, DOI = {10.1080/02626667.2015.1072275}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010065509}, }