@article{fdi:010065494,
  title = {{R}andom phylogenies and the distribution of branching times},
  author = {{P}aradis, {E}mmanuel},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{P}hylogenetic trees reconstructed without fossils have become an important source of information to study evolutionary processes. {A} widely used method to describe patterns of phylogenetic diversification is known as the lineages-through-time ({LTT}) plot. {R}ecently, it has been shown that it is possible to predict the distribution of the branching times of a phylogeny, thus making possible to derive a theoretical {LTT} curve conditioned on diversification parameters. {H}ere, {I} review some aspects related to this prediction showing how to derive it for any time-dependent model of diversification, as well as calculating a prediction interval around a theoretical {LTT} curve. {T}he accuracy of the prediction interval was assessed with simulations using fixed or random tree sizes under constant-rate models as well as two models of time-dependent diversification. {T}he prediction intervals were relatively narrower and more accurate for larger trees. {T}he features of this approach are discussed as well as its potential applications.},
  keywords = {{D}iversity ; {E}xtinction ; {LTT} plot ; {S}peciation},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{J}ournal of {T}heoretical {B}iology},
  volume = {387},
  numero = {},
  pages = {39--45},
  ISSN = {0022-5193},
  year = {2015},
  DOI = {10.1016/j.jtbi.2015.09.005},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010065494},
}