@article{fdi:010065417, title = {{W}hat aspects of future rainfall changes matter for crop yields in {W}est {A}frica ?}, author = {{G}uan, {K}. {Y}. and {S}ultan, {B}enjamin and {B}iasutti, {M}. and {B}aron, {C}. and {L}obell, {D}. {B}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{H}ow rainfall arrives, in terms of its frequency, intensity, the timing and duration of rainy season, may have a large influence on rainfed agriculture. {H}owever, a thorough assessment of these effects is largely missing. {T}his study combines a new synthetic rainfall model and two independently validated crop models ({APSIM} and {SARRA}-{H}) to assess sorghum yield response to possible shifts in seasonal rainfall characteristics in {W}est {A}frica. {W}e find that shifts in total rainfall amount primarily drive the rainfall-related crop yield change, with less relevance to intraseasonal rainfall features. {H}owever, dry regions (total annual rainfall below 500mm/yr) have a high sensitivity to rainfall frequency and intensity, and more intense rainfall events have greater benefits for crop yield than more frequent rainfall. {D}elayed monsoon onset may negatively impact yields. {O}ur study implies that future changes in seasonal rainfall characteristics should be considered in designing specific crop adaptations in {W}est {A}frica.}, keywords = {rainfall ; crop ; sorghum ; {W}est {A}frica ; climate change ; {AFRIQUE} {DE} {L}'{OUEST} ; {ZONE} {SOUDANOSAHELIENNE}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{G}eophysical {R}esearch {L}etters}, volume = {42}, numero = {19}, pages = {8001--8010}, ISSN = {0094-8276}, year = {2015}, DOI = {10.1002/2015gl063877}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010065417}, }