@article{fdi:010065393, title = {{F}luctuations in the extent of mangroves driven by multi-decadal changes in {N}orth {A}tlantic waves}, author = {{W}alcker, {R}. and {A}nthony, {E}. {J}. and {C}assou, {C}. and {A}ller, {R}. {C}. and {G}ardel, {A}. and {P}roisy, {C}hristophe and {M}artinez, {J}ean-{M}ichel and {F}romard, {F}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{A}im{T}he goal of the study was to quantify changes in the extent of mangroves since the mid-twentieth century and to test the hypothesis that these changes are driven by ocean waves. {L}ocation{T}he pristine 300-km-long coast of {F}rench {G}uiana, {S}outh {A}merica. {M}ethods{W}e produced time series of mangrove maps using archival remote sensing images. {W}e retrieved significant wave heights ({H}-{S}), mean wave periods ({T}-{M}) and mean wave directions (({M})) from the {E}uropean {C}entre for {M}edium-{R}ange {W}eather {F}orecasts reanalysis products. {W}e used complex empirical orthogonal function ({CEOF}) decomposition to extract the main mode of mangrove surface area ({M}-{S}) variability and singular value decomposition ({SVD}) to test the relationships between {M}-{S} and {H}-{S},{T}-{M} and ({M}). {R}esults{T}he leading mode of variability extracted from the {CEOF} decomposition of {M}-{S} captured approximately 78% of the total auto-covariance and revealed multi-decadal fluctuations in {M}-{S} that were on the order of 10,000ha. {T}he {SVD} results indicated that the multi-decadal fluctuation in {M}-{S} cross-covaried with {H}-{S},{T}-{M} and ({M}) over the {N}orth {A}tlantic sector, particularly in the region immediately off the {F}rench {G}uiana coast that is remotely forced by the {N}orth {A}tlantic {O}scillation ({NAO}) during the winter season. {M}ain conclusions{W}e provide evidence based on linear statistics that variations in the extent of mangroves are driven by large-scale, low-frequency changes in {N}orth {A}tlantic waves that are related to the {NAO}. {S}uch a relationship is hypothesized to operate through wave pounding, which alters the mud substrates on which mangroves thrive and which varies with the phase of the {NAO}. {I}n addition to long-term trends due to anthropogenic climate change, our results stress the importance of studying low-frequency modes of climate variability to understand changes in the extent of mangroves.}, keywords = {{A}mazon ; coastal changes ; complex empirical orthogonal functions ; {F}rench {G}uiana ; mangroves ; {N}orth {A}tlantic {O}scillation ; ocean waves ; trade winds ; {GUYANE} {FRANCAISE} ; {AMAZONE} ; {ATLANTIQUE} {NORD}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{J}ournal of {B}iogeography}, volume = {42}, numero = {11}, pages = {2209--2219}, ISSN = {0305-0270}, year = {2015}, DOI = {10.1111/jbi.12580}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010065393}, }