@article{fdi:010064914, title = {{I}nfluence of past and future climate changes on the distribution of three {S}outheast {A}sian murine rodents}, author = {{L}atinne, {A}. and {M}eynard, {C}. {N}. and {H}erbreteau, {V}incent and {W}aengsothorn, {S}. and {M}orand, {S}. and {M}ichaux, {J}. {R}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{A}im{W}e tested the influence of {P}leistocene climatic fluctuations and the potential effect of future climate change on {S}outheast {A}sian small mammal distributions using two forest-dwelling ({L}eopoldamys herberti and {L}eopoldamys sabanus) and one karst ({L}eopoldamys neilli) endemic rodent species as models. {L}ocation{S}outheast {A}sia. {M}ethods{W}e used presence-absence data of genetically identified individuals, bioclimatic variables and species distribution modelling techniques to predict potential distributions of the three studied species under current, past [{L}ast {I}nterglacial ({LIG}) and {L}ast {G}lacial {M}aximum ({LGM})] and future conditions. {W}e applied a variety of modelling techniques and then used consensus techniques to draw up robust maps of potential distribution ranges at all stages. {R}esults{A}ccording to our models, these three {L}eopoldamys species did not experience significant range contraction during the {LGM}. {O}ur models revealed substantial range contraction during the {LIG} for {L}. herberti in northern {I}ndochina, while its distribution expanded in southern {I}ndochina. {E}vidence of a southward range expansion during that period was also obtained for {L}. neilli, whereas {L}. sabanus remained widely distributed in insular {S}outheast {A}sia but experienced a range contraction on the {T}hai-{M}alay {P}eninsula. {T}he two future climate change scenarios used predicted that large climatically suitable areas would still be available in the future for the three species. {M}ain conclusions{O}ur model predictions contradict the well-established hypothesis that {S}outheast {A}sian forest-dwelling species were confined to small refugia during the {LGM}. {M}oreover, our results suggest that some {S}outheast {A}sian taxa may have been distributed in their refugial state during the {LIG} rather than the {LGM}. {T}his could be because of vegetation changes that may have occurred at that time as a result of the increased seasonality observed during the {LIG}. {T}hese {P}leistocene refugia may have been localized in northern {I}ndochina but our study also revealed that southern {I}ndochina could provide major potential refugia.}, keywords = {{C}limate change ; {L}ast {G}lacial {M}aximum ; {L}ast {I}nterglacial ; {L}eopoldamys ; {M}urinae ; {P}leistocene ; rodents ; {S}outheast {A}sia ; species distribution ; modelling ; {ASIE} {DU} {SUD} {EST}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{J}ournal of {B}iogeography}, volume = {42}, numero = {9}, pages = {1714--1726}, ISSN = {0305-0270}, year = {2015}, DOI = {10.1111/jbi.12528}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010064914}, }