@article{fdi:010064641,
  title = {{T}he spread of {A}edes albopictus in metropolitan {F}rance : contribution of environmental drivers and human activities and predictions for a near future},
  author = {{R}oche, {B}enjamin and {L}eger, {L}ucas and {L}'{A}mbert, {G}. and {L}acour, {G}. and {F}oussadier, {R}. and {B}esnard, {G}. and {B}arre-{C}ardi, {H}. and {S}imard, {F}r{\'e}d{\'e}ric and {F}ontenille, {D}idier},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{I}nvasion of new territories by insect vector species that can transmit pathogens is one of the most important threats for human health. {T}he spread of the mosquito {A}edes albopictus in {E}urope is emblematic, because of its major role in the emergence and transmission of arbo-viruses such as dengue or chikungunya. {H}ere, we modeled the spread of this mosquito species in {F}rance through a statistical framework taking advantage of a long-term surveillance dataset going back to the first observation of {A}e. albopictus in the {M}etropolitan area. {A}fter validating the model, we show that human activities are especially important for mosquito dispersion while land use is a major factor for mosquito establishment. {M}ore importantly, we show that {A}e. albopictus invasion is accelerating through time in this area, resulting in a geographic range extending further and further year after year. {W}e also show that sporadic "jump" of {A}e. albopictus in a new location far from the colonized area did not succeed in starting a new invasion front so far. {F}inally, we discuss on a potential adaptation to cooler climate and the risk of invasion into {N}orthern latitudes.},
  keywords = {{FRANCE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{P}los {O}ne},
  volume = {10},
  numero = {5},
  pages = {e0125600 [13 p.]},
  ISSN = {1932-6203},
  year = {2015},
  DOI = {10.1371/journal.pone.0125600},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010064641},
}