@article{fdi:010063937, title = {{A} method for modeling the effects of climate and land use changes on erosion and sustainability of soil in a {M}editerranean watershed ({L}anguedoc, {F}rance)}, author = {{P}aroissien, {J}. {B}. and {D}arboux, {F}. and {C}outurier, {A}. and {D}evillers, {B}. and {M}ouillot, {F}lorent and {R}aclot, {D}amien and {L}e {B}issonnais, {Y}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{G}lobal climate and land use changes could strongly affect soil erosion and the capability of soils to sustain agriculture and in turn impact regional or global food security. {T}he objective of our study was to develop a method to assess soil sustainability to erosion under changes in land use and climate. {T}he method was applied in a typical mixed {M}editerranean landscape in a wine-growing watershed (75 km(2)) within the {L}anguedoc region ({L}a {P}eyne, {F}rance) for two periods: a first period with the current climate and land use and a second period with the climate and land use scenarios at the end of the twenty-first century. {T}he {I}ntergovernmental {P}anel on {C}limate {C}hange {A}1{B} future rainfall scenarios from the {M}ete {F}rance {G}eneral circulation model was coupled with four contrasting land use change scenarios that were designed using a spatially-explicit land use change model. {M}ean annual erosion rate was estimated with an expert-based soil erosion model. {S}oil life expectancy was assessed using soil depth. {S}oil erosion rate and soil life expectancy were combined into a sustainability index. {T}he median simulated soil erosion rate for the current period was 3.5 t/ha/year and the soil life expectancy was 273 years, showing a low sustainability of soils. {F}or the future period with the same land use distribution, the median simulated soil erosion rate was 4.2 t/ha/year and the soil life expectancy was 249 years. {T}he results show that soil erosion rate and soil life expectancy are more sensitive to changes in land use than to changes in precipitation. {A}mong the scenarios tested, institution of a mandatory grass cover in vineyards seems to be an efficient means of significantly improving soil sustainability, both in terms of decreased soil erosion rates and increased soil life expectancies.}, keywords = {{ZONE} {MEDITERRANEENNE} ; {C}limate change ; {S}oil erosion ; {L}and use change ; {M}odeling ; {S}oil sustainability ; {FRANCE}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{J}ournal of {E}nvironmental {M}anagement}, volume = {150}, numero = {}, pages = {57--68}, ISSN = {0301-4797}, year = {2015}, DOI = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2014.10.034}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010063937}, }