%0 Journal Article %9 ACL : Articles dans des revues avec comité de lecture répertoriées par l'AERES %A Cury, Philippe %A Fromentin, J. M. %A Figuet, S. %A Bonhommeau, S. %T Resolving Hjort's dilemma how is recruitment related to spawning stock biomass in marins fish ? %D 2014 %L fdi:010063726 %G ENG %J Oceanography %@ 1042-8275 %M ISI:000348828000007 %N 4 %P 42-47 %R 10.5670/oceanog.2014.85 %U https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010063726 %> https://www.documentation.ird.fr/intranet/publi/2015/03/010063726.pdf %V 27 %W Horizon (IRD) %X The relationship between spawning fish abundance and the number of offspring, the so-called stock-recruitment relationship, is crucial for fisheries management and conservation measures. Using the most comprehensive data set ever assembled, we quantify this relationship for 211 fish stocks worldwide, revealing a global pattern with a pervasive asymptotic shape that shows increasing recruitment reaching an upper limit for values around half to two-thirds of parental biomass. This corroborates previous theoretical and modeling results. However, parental biomass is a predictor for only 5% to 15% of the variance in recruitment, demonstrating the weak predictive power of the stock-recruitment relationship in marine fish populations. Thus, there is a need to move rapidly toward models that integrate environmental conditions and species interactions in fisheries stock assessment and management, as suggested by Johan Hjort 100 years ago. %$ 040 ; 020