@article{fdi:010062291, title = {{B}iomass changes and trophic amplification of plankton in a warmer ocean}, author = {{C}hust, {G}. and {A}llen, {J}. {I}. and {B}opp, {L}. and {S}chrum, {C}. and {H}olt, {J}. and {T}siaras, {K}. and {Z}avatarelli, {M}. and {C}hifflet, {M}. and {C}annaby, {H}. and {D}adou, {I}. and {D}aewel, {U}. and {W}akelin, {S}. {L}. and {M}achu, {E}ric and {P}ushpadas, {D}. and {B}utenschon, {M}. and {A}rtioli, {Y}. and {P}etihakis, {G}. and {S}mith, {C}. and {G}arcon, {V}. and {G}oubanova, {K}aterina and {L}e {V}u, {B}riac and {F}ach, {B}. {A}. and {S}alihoglu, {B}. and {C}lementi, {E}. and {I}rigoien, {X}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{O}cean warming can modify the ecophysiology and distribution of marine organisms, and relationships between species, with nonlinear interactions between ecosystem components potentially resulting in trophic amplification. {T}rophic amplification (or attenuation) describe the propagation of a hydroclimatic signal up the food web, causing magnification (or depression) of biomass values along one or more trophic pathways. {W}e have employed 3-{D} coupled physical-biogeochemical models to explore ecosystem responses to climate change with a focus on trophic amplification. {T}he response of phytoplankton and zooplankton to global climate-change projections, carried out with the {IPSL} {E}arth {S}ystem {M}odel by the end of the century, is analysed at global and regional basis, including {E}uropean seas ({NE} {A}tlantic, {B}arents {S}ea, {B}altic {S}ea, {B}lack {S}ea, {B}ay of {B}iscay, {A}driatic {S}ea, {A}egean {S}ea) and the {E}astern {B}oundary {U}pwelling {S}ystem ({B}enguela). {R}esults indicate that globally and in {A}tlantic {M}argin and {N}orth {S}ea, increased ocean stratification causes primary production and zooplankton biomass to decrease in response to a warming climate, whilst in the {B}arents, {B}altic and {B}lack {S}eas, primary production and zooplankton biomass increase. {P}rojected warming characterized by an increase in sea surface temperature of 2.29 +/- 0.05 degrees {C} leads to a reduction in zooplankton and phytoplankton biomasses of 11% and 6%, respectively. {T}his suggests negative amplification of climate driven modifications of trophic level biomass through bottom-up control, leading to a reduced capacity of oceans to regulate climate through the biological carbon pump. {S}imulations suggest negative amplification is the dominant response across 47% of the ocean surface and prevails in the tropical oceans; whilst positive trophic amplification prevails in the {A}rctic and {A}ntarctic oceans. {T}rophic attenuation is projected in temperate seas. {U}ncertainties in ocean plankton projections, associated to the use of single global and regional models, imply the need for caution when extending these considerations into higher trophic levels.}, keywords = {ecosystem model ; food web ; plankton ; primary production ; sea warming ; trophic amplification}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{G}lobal {C}hange {B}iology}, volume = {20}, numero = {7}, pages = {2124--2139}, ISSN = {1354-1013}, year = {2014}, DOI = {10.1111/gcb.12562}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010062291}, }