@article{fdi:010061913, title = {{W}ind-induced variability in larval retention in a coral reef system : a biophysical modelling study in the {S}outh-{W}est {L}agoon of {N}ew {C}aledonia}, author = {{C}uif, {M}. and {K}aplan, {D}avid and {L}ef{\`e}vre, {J}{\'e}r{\^o}me and {F}aure, {V}.{M}. and {C}aillaud, {M}. and {V}erley, {P}hilippe and {V}igliola, {L}aurent and {L}ett, {C}hristophe}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{I}n the present work, a biophysical dispersal model is used to understand the role of the physical environment in determining reef fish larval dispersal patterns in the {S}outh-{W}est {L}agoon of {N}ew {C}aledonia. {W}e focus on a reef fish species, the humbug damselfish {D}ascyllus aruanus, to investigate seasonal variability of simulated larval retention at the scale of a reef patch and at the scale of the lagoon, and to explore links between larval retention and wind variability. {T}he model shows that retention exhibits considerable temporal variability and periodically reaches values much larger than anticipated. {N}on-zero larval settlement occurs over a large part of the lagoon. {N}evertheless, settlement values decrease quickly away from the natal reef and mean dispersal distances are of order 25-35 km. {C}ross-correlation analyses indicate that weather conditions characterized by strong south east trade winds lead to low retention rates at both local (reef) and regional (lagoon) scales. {B}y contrast, subtropical weather conditions characterized by weak winds result in high retention rates. {T}hese results suggest that large-scale weather regimes can be used as proxies for larval retention of the humbug damselfish in the {S}outh-{W}est {L}agoon of {N}ew {C}aledonia. {N}evertheless, relatively small mean dispersal distances suggest that metapopulation dynamics occur on relatively small spatial scales.}, keywords = {{NOUVELLE} {CALEDONIE}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{P}rogress in {O}ceanography}, volume = {122}, numero = {}, pages = {105--115}, ISSN = {0079-6611}, year = {2014}, DOI = {10.1016/j.pocean.2013.12.006}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010061913}, }