@article{fdi:010061804,
  title = {{F}requency and magnitude of volcanic eruptions controlled by magma injection and buoyancy},
  author = {{C}aricchi, {L}. and {A}nnen, {C}. and {B}lundy, {J}. and {S}impson, {G}. and {P}inel, {V}irginie},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{S}uper-eruptions are extremely rare events. {I}ndeed, the global frequency of explosive volcanic eruptions is inversely proportional to the volume of magma released in a single event(1,2). {T}he rate of magma supply, mechanical properties of the crust and magma, and tectonic regime are known to play a role in controlling eruption frequency and magnitude(3-7), but their relative contributions have not been quantified. {H}ere we use a thermomechanical numerical model of magma injection into {E}arth's crust and {M}onte {C}arlo simulations to explore the factors controlling the recurrence rates of eruptions of different magnitudes. {W}e find that the rate of magma supply to the upper crust controls the volume of a single eruption. {T}he time interval between magma injections into the subvolcanic reservoir, at a constant magma-supply rate, determines the duration of the magmatic activity that precedes eruptions. {O}ur simulations reproduce the observed relationship between eruption volume and magma chamber residence times and replicate the observed correlation between erupted volumes and caldera dimensions(8,9). {W}e also find that magma buoyancy is key to triggering super-eruptions, whereas pressurization associated with magma injection is responsible for relatively small and frequent eruptions. {O}ur findings help improve our ability to decipher the long-term activity patterns of volcanic systems.},
  keywords = {},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{N}ature {G}eoscience},
  volume = {7},
  numero = {2},
  pages = {126--130},
  ISSN = {1752-0894},
  year = {2014},
  DOI = {10.1038/ngeo2041},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010061804},
}