@article{fdi:010061405,
  title = {{P}rojected response of the {I}ndian {O}cean {D}ipole to greenhouse warming},
  author = {{C}ai, {W}. {J}. and {Z}heng, {X}. {T}. and {W}eller, {E}. and {C}ollins, {M}. and {C}owan, {T}. and {L}engaigne, {M}atthieu and {Y}u, {W}. {D}. and {Y}amagata, {T}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{N}atural modes of variability centred in the tropics, such as the {E}l {N}ino/{S}outhern {O}scillation and the {I}ndian {O}cean {D}ipole, are a significant source of interannual climate variability across the globe. {F}uture climate warming could alter these modes of variability. {F}or example, with the warming projected for the end of the twenty-first century, the mean climate of the tropical {I}ndian {O}cean is expected to change considerably. {T}hese changes have the potential to affect the {I}ndian {O}cean {D}ipole, currently characterized by an alternation of anomalous cooling in the eastern tropical {I}ndian {O}cean and warming in the west in a positive dipole event, and the reverse pattern for negative events. {T}he amplitude of positive events is generally greater than that of negative events. {M}ean climate warming in austral spring is expected to lead to stronger easterly winds just south of the {E}quator, faster warming of sea surface temperatures in the western {I}ndian {O}cean compared with the eastern basin, and a shoaling equatorial thermocline. {T}he mean climate conditions that result from these changes more closely resemble a positive dipole state. {H}owever, defined relative to the mean state at any given time, the overall frequency of events is not projected to change - but we expect a reduction in the difference in amplitude between positive and negative dipole events.},
  keywords = {{OCEAN} {INDIEN}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{N}ature {G}eoscience},
  volume = {6},
  numero = {12},
  pages = {999--1007},
  ISSN = {1752-0894},
  year = {2013},
  DOI = {10.1038/ngeo2009},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010061405},
}