%0 Journal Article
%9 ACL : Articles dans des revues avec comité de lecture répertoriées par l'AERES
%A Matthews, A.P.
%A Garenne, Michel
%T A dynamic model of the marriage market. Part 2 : Simulation of marital states and application to empirical data
%D 2013
%L fdi:010061086
%G ENG
%J Theoretical Population Biology
%@ 0040-5809
%K MARIAGE ; ETAT MATRIMONIAL ; AGE PHYSIOLOGIQUE ; SEXE ; SIMULATION ; MODELE
%K ZAMBIE
%M WOS:000324508700009
%P 86-93
%R 10.1016/j.tpb.2013.05.002
%U https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010061086
%> https://www.documentation.ird.fr/intranet/publi/depot/2014-02-10/010061086.pdf
%V 88
%W Horizon (IRD)
%X A dynamic, two-sex, age-structured marriage model is presented. Part 1 focused on first marriage only and described a marriage market matching algorithm. In Part 2 the model is extended to include divorce, widowing, and remarriage. The model Produces a self-consistent set of marital states distributed by age and sex in a stable population by means of a gender-symmetric numerical method. The model is compared with empirical data for the case of Zambia. Furthermore, a dynamic marriage function for a changing population is demonstrated in simulations of three hypothetical scenarios of elevated mortality in young to middle adulthood. The marriage model has its primary application to simulation of HIV-AIDS epidemics in African countries.
%$ 108DEMOG1