@article{fdi:010060847, title = {{C}urrent state of {M}editerranean water resources and future trends under climatic and anthropogenic changes}, author = {{M}ilano, {M}. and {R}uelland, {D}. and {F}ernandez, {S}. and {D}ezetter, {A}lain and {F}abre, {J}. and {S}ervat, {E}ric and {F}ritsch, {J}ean-{M}arie and {A}rdoin {B}ardin, {S}andra and {T}hivet, {G}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{T}he {M}editerranean basin has been identified as one of the world's regions most vulnerable to climatic and anthropogenic changes. {A} methodology accounting for the basin specific conditions is developed to assess the impacts of these changes on water resources. {B}ased on global climate projections and water-use scenarios inspired by national reports, the current water stress state is addressed first and then it is explored for the medium-term. {C}urrently, the southern and eastern rims are experiencing high to severe water stress. {B}y the 2050 horizon, this stress could increase over the whole {M}editerranean basin, notably because of a 3050% decline in freshwater resources as a result of climate change. {I}n addition, under a business-as-usual water-use scenario, total water withdrawals are projected to double on the southern and eastern rims. {T}hese worrying trends indicate the need to develop mitigation scenarios. {I}n accord with the {M}editerranean {S}trategy for {S}ustainable {D}evelopment, an alternative water-use scenario based on improvements in the efficiency of water distribution networks and of irrigated agriculture is investigated. {S}uch progress would stabilize total water withdrawals over the {M}editerranean basin and even make them decrease (1040%) in many northern catchments. {W}ater stress could thus be tempered in some eastern catchments and remain low on the northern rim. {T}his study highlights the importance of developing sustainable development strategies to cope with climatic and anthropogenic changes in order to explore their impacts at regional scales. {I}t supports the need to focus on the most vulnerable areas within the {M}editerranean basin.}, keywords = {regional assessment ; water stress index ; climate scenarios ; water-use scenarios ; sustainable development strategies ; {M}editerranean basin ; {ZONE} {MEDITERRANNEENNE}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{H}ydrological {S}ciences {J}ournal. {J}ournal des {S}ciences {H}ydrologiques}, volume = {58}, numero = {3}, pages = {498--518}, ISSN = {0262-6667}, year = {2013}, DOI = {10.1080/02626667.2013.774458}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010060847}, }