%0 Journal Article %9 ACL : Articles dans des revues avec comité de lecture non répertoriées par l'AERES %A Read, J. %A Jaffré, Tanguy %T Population dynamics of canopy trees in New Caledonian rain forests : are monodominant Nothofagus (Nothofagaceae) forests successional to mixed rain forests ? %D 2013 %L fdi:010060215 %G ENG %J Journal of Tropical Ecology %@ 0266-4674 %K FORET SECONDAIRE ; ARBRE FORESTIER ; CANOPEE FORESTIERE ; DOMINANCE ; DYNAMIQUE DE POPULATION ; STRUCTURE DE POPULATION ; REGENERATION ; DENSITE DE POPULATION ; EVOLUTION ; CYCLONE TROPICAL ; ALTITUDE %K TAILLE ; FEU ; ANALYSE DE COHORTES %K NOUVELLE CALEDONIE ; ZONE TROPICALE HUMIDE %N 5 %P 485-499 %R 10.1017/S0266467413000576 %U https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010060215 %> https://www.documentation.ird.fr/intranet/publi/depot/2013-12-16/010060215.pdf %V 29 %W Horizon (IRD) %X In New Caledonia, rain forests with an upper canopy dominated by single species of Nothofagus occur next to mixed-canopy forests, without discernible environmental cause. A potential explanation is that they are different successional stages. To test this hypothesis and predict long-term change in canopy dominance, population size structures of 61 canopy species were analysed in six Nothofagus-dominated forests and three adjacent mixed rain forests. Weibull analysis suggests that these Nothofagus forests are secondary forests, with recruitment insufficient to maintain monodominance, except at a high-altitude site. At low- to mid-altitudes the Nothofagus canopy is predicted to develop into amixed canopy, unlessmoderate to severe disturbance occurs within its reproductive lifespan. However, adjacent mixed rain forests are also secondary, with 85% of analysed species showing no evidence of continuous regeneration. Fifteen species from both forest types showed reverse-J curves suggesting continuous regeneration, but only Calophyllum caledonicum did so consistently. Since few canopy species showed evidence of high shade tolerance and persistence, a small number of shade-tolerant species is predicted to dominate both forests in the long term, in the hypothetical absence of disturbance. Hence, temporal factors associated with disturbances play a key role in determining dominance in these forests. %$ 082VEGET02 ; 076BOTA02