@article{fdi:010057359, title = {{F}acing climatic and anthropogenic changes in the {M}editerranean basin : what will be the medium-term impact on water stress ?}, author = {{M}ilano, {M}. and {R}uelland, {D}. and {F}ernandez, {S}. and {D}ezetter, {A}lain and {F}abre, {J}. and {S}ervat, {E}ric}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{T}he {M}editerranean basin has been identified as one of the world's most vulnerable regions to climatic and anthropogenic changes. {A} methodology accounting for the basin specific conditions is developed to assess the current and future water stress state of this region. {T}he medium-term evolution of water stress is investigated using climatic scenarios and a water-use scenario based on efficiency improvements following the recommendations of the {M}editerranean {S}trategy for {S}ustainable {D}evelopment. {C}urrently, the southern and eastern rims are experiencing high to severe water stress. {B}y the 2050 horizon, a 30-50% decline in freshwater resources is simulated over most of the {M}editerranean basin. {W}hile total water withdrawals would stabilize, or even decrease (10-40%), in several northern catchments, they would double in southern and eastern catchments. {T}hese changes should significantly increase water stress over the {M}editerranean basin and exacerbate the disparities between rims.}, keywords = {{R}egional assessment ; {W}ater stress index ; {C}limate scenarios ; {W}ater-use scenario ; {S}ustainable development strategies ; {M}editerranean basin ; Étude r{\'e}gionale ; {I}ndice de stress hydrique ; {S}c{\'e}narios climatiques ; {S}c{\'e}nario d_usage de l_eau ; {S}trat{\'e}gies de d{\'e}veloppement durable ; {B}assin m{\'e}diterran{\'e}en ; {ZONE} {MEDITERRANEENNE}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{C}omptes {R}endus {G}eoscience}, volume = {344}, numero = {9}, pages = {432--440}, ISSN = {1631-0713}, year = {2012}, DOI = {10.1016/j.crte.2012.07.006}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010057359}, }