@article{PAR00011904,
  title = {{P}rojecting the impact of regional land-use change and water management policies on lake water quality : an application to periurban lakes and reservoirs},
  author = {{C}atherine, {A}. and {M}ouillot, {D}. and {M}aloufi, {S}. and {T}roussellier, {M}arc and {B}ernard, {C}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{A}s the human population grows, the demand for living space and supplies of resources also increases, which may induce rapid change in land-use/land-cover ({LULC}) and associated pressures exerted on aquatic habitats. {W}e propose a new approach to forecast the impact of regional land cover change and water management policies (i.e., targets in nutrient loads reduction) on lake and reservoir water eutrophication status using a model that requires minimal parameterisation compared with alternative methods. {T}his approach was applied to a set of 48 periurban lakes located in the {I}le de {F}rance region ({IDF}, {F}rance) to simulate catchment-scale management scenarios. {M}odel outputs were subsequently compared to governmental agencies' 2030 forecasts. {O}ur model indicated that the efforts made to reduce pressure in the catchment of seepage lakes might be expected to be proportional to the gain that might be obtained, whereas drainage lakes will display little improvement until a critical level of pressure reduction is reached. {T}he model also indicated that remediation measures, as currently planned by governmental agencies, might only have a marginal impact on improving the eutrophication status of lakes and reservoirs within the {IDF} region. {D}espite the commitment to appropriately managing the water resources in many countries, prospective tools to evaluate the potential impacts of global change on freshwater ecosystems integrity at medium to large spatial scales are lacking. {T}his study proposes a new approach to investigate the impact of region-scale human-driven changes on lake and reservoir ecological status and could be implemented elsewhere with limited parameterisation. {I}ssues are discussed that relate to model uncertainty and to its relevance as a tool applied to decision-making.},
  keywords = {{FRANCE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{P}los {O}ne},
  volume = {8},
  numero = {8},
  pages = {e72227},
  ISSN = {1932-6203},
  year = {2013},
  DOI = {10.1371/journal.pone.0072227},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/{PAR}00011904},
}