@article{PAR00007467,
  title = {{S}oil erosion modelling of the {M}editerraean basin in the context of land use and climate changes},
  author = {{C}erdan, {O}. and {M}ouchel, {J}.{M}. and {D}esprats, {J}.{F}. and {F}ouch{\'e}, {J}. and {L}e {B}issonnais, {Y}. and {C}heviron, {B}. and {S}imonneaux, {V}incent and {R}aclot, {D}amien and {M}ouillot, {F}lorent},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{H}ydric erosion is one of the major causes of soil degradation. {I}t results from the interaction of several parameters which vary in space and time. {G}lobal warming and the land use changes expected during the 21st century are going to influence the soils deterioration and the erosion processes. {I}n order to protect the soil resource under the current bioclimatic context and prevent the future consequences, it is essential to apprehend the erosion risk. {M}any studies developed the soil erosion risk modelling at various scales from regional to european scale. {T}he {MESOEROS} project is the first which aims to understand the soil loss risk on the whole {M}editerranean basin for the current climate context and also for the predicting climate changes expected for the 21st century. {T}wo models are used: {MESALES} (expert rules model) and {PESERA} (physical based model). {B}oth provide the soil erosion risk into five classes. {M}odel inputs, soils properties (crusting and erodibility), climate data, {DEM} and land use data, come from the most recent and validated datasets, homogenised on the whole study area. {A}fter being calibrated with watersheds data and the {PESERA} modelling on {E}urope, the two modelling results are analysed. {B}oth {MESALES} and {PESERA} present an erosion risk contrast around the {M}editerranean basin. {MESALES} estimates {I}talia, {A}ndalusia, {C}atalan and {A}ragon regions, western part of {G}reece and {B}alkan region as threatened areas while {PESERA} models the arable region of {C}astellan y {L}eon, {N}ear {E}ast and the high atlas range in {M}orocco as subjected to an erosion risk. {T}he two methods model parts of northern {M}orocco, centre and {E}uropean part of {T}urkey, {L}ebanon and northern {P}ortugal at risk while southern {F}rance, {L}ibyan coasts and southern {G}reece are never threatened. {A}nalyses of the parameter influences on the models and the modelling validation allow understanding the integration of climate change on modelling results. {MESALES} and {PESERA} point out an evolution of the soil erosion risk between the 20th and the 21st centuries around the {M}editerranean basin. {T}he two models assess a global augmentation of the soil loss risk at the {M}editerranean scale. {T}hey both show an increase ? in intensity and surface - of the soil erosion risk on areas already sensitive during the 20th century.},
  keywords = {{ZONE} {MEDITERRANEENNE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{G}eophysical {R}esearch {A}bstracts},
  volume = {12},
  numero = {},
  pages = {8679--1},
  year = {2010},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/{PAR}00007467},
}